Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000100 0.000111 0.000124 0.000139 0.000155 0.000173 0.000193
2024-10-06 0.000083 0.000099 0.000117 0.000139 0.000165 0.000195 0.000233
2024-10-13 0.000070 0.000088 0.000109 0.000137 0.000172 0.000215 0.000270
2024-10-20 0.000061 0.000080 0.000105 0.000138 0.000181 0.000236 0.000312
2024-10-27 0.000054 0.000074 0.000101 0.000139 0.000190 0.000259 0.000357
2024-11-03 0.000047 0.000068 0.000096 0.000137 0.000195 0.000275 0.000395
2024-11-10 0.000043 0.000064 0.000094 0.000139 0.000206 0.000301 0.000447
2024-11-17 0.000039 0.000059 0.000090 0.000138 0.000211 0.000319 0.000490
2024-11-24 0.000035 0.000056 0.000088 0.000138 0.000219 0.000340 0.000539
2024-12-01 0.000032 0.000052 0.000084 0.000137 0.000223 0.000356 0.000581
2024-12-08 0.000029 0.000049 0.000081 0.000136 0.000227 0.000373 0.000625
2024-12-15 0.000027 0.000046 0.000079 0.000135 0.000232 0.000390 0.000672
2024-12-22 0.000025 0.000044 0.000076 0.000135 0.000238 0.000413 0.000730
2024-12-29 0.000023 0.000042 0.000075 0.000136 0.000246 0.000436 0.000793
2025-01-05 0.000021 0.000039 0.000072 0.000134 0.000250 0.000454 0.000848
2025-01-12 0.000019 0.000038 0.000071 0.000135 0.000257 0.000479 0.000916
2025-01-19 0.000018 0.000036 0.000069 0.000136 0.000265 0.000506 0.000990
2025-01-26 0.000017 0.000034 0.000067 0.000134 0.000267 0.000521 0.001045
2025-02-02 0.000016 0.000033 0.000066 0.000136 0.000278 0.000555 0.001138
2025-02-09 0.000015 0.000031 0.000064 0.000135 0.000282 0.000575 0.001205
2025-02-16 0.000014 0.000030 0.000063 0.000136 0.000289 0.000601 0.001286
2025-02-23 0.000013 0.000029 0.000061 0.000134 0.000292 0.000619 0.001352
2025-03-02 0.000012 0.000027 0.000060 0.000133 0.000295 0.000638 0.001423